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Subex Q2 Results: emphasis on non-linearity

Subex, the Indian RA giant, have announced solid results for Q2 FY2012. Now that they have sold off the failing activation wing of their business, the focus should rightly be on its continuing business lines. These looked in strong health, with both revenues and earnings up year-on-year. The figures presented by Subex for order intake and pipeline suggested that Subex's fundamentals will keep improving in future.The key message emphasized by Subex was how current performance supported optimism for the future, as summed up with the idea of 'non-linearity'. Put simply, if you sell the same software to lots of different customers, then the drivers for your costs should get divorced from the drivers of your revenues. The key to success in this market has always been to accumulate a large enough share of the market that the revenues support strong recurring investment in maintaining and developing products (to keep a lead on competitors) even though costs start falling as a percentage of revenues. Subex are hinting they have reached that point. If that is true, then unless the market sees significant disruption or dramatic game-changing moves from competitors, Subex should now be...

Subex, the Indian RA giant, have announced solid results for Q2 FY2012. Now that they have sold off the failing activation wing of their business, the focus should rightly be on its continuing business lines. These looked in strong health, with both revenues and earnings up year-on-year. The figures presented by Subex for order intake and pipeline suggested that Subex’s fundamentals will keep improving in future.

The key message emphasized by Subex was how current performance supported optimism for the future, as summed up with the idea of ‘non-linearity’. Put simply, if you sell the same software to lots of different customers, then the drivers for your costs should get divorced from the drivers of your revenues. The key to success in this market has always been to accumulate a large enough share of the market that the revenues support strong recurring investment in maintaining and developing products (to keep a lead on competitors) even though costs start falling as a percentage of revenues. Subex are hinting they have reached that point. If that is true, then unless the market sees significant disruption or dramatic game-changing moves from competitors, Subex should now be looking to ride a virtuous circle to better results in future.

You can read the Q2 results press release here, the shareholder presentation here, and the numbers here.

Eric Priezkalns
Eric Priezkalnshttp://revenueprotect.com

During his career, Eric has been a Director of Risk Management for a national telco, the Chief Executive of the Risk & Assurance Group, a Chief Marketing Officer for a software business, a consultant, a public speaker and the publisher of Commsrisk since its launch in 2006. Look here for more about the history of Commsrisk and the role played by Eric.

The comms providers that Eric has worked for include Qatar Telecom, Cable & Wireless, T‑Mobile, Sky and Worldcom. In addition to his proficiency at speaking about the current scamdemic, Eric is also a qualified chartered accountant and a subject matter expert in consumer protection, enterprise risk management, fraud prevention, data integrity and billing accuracy. Eric was the lead author of Revenue Assurance: Expert Opinions for Communications Providers, published by CRC Press. He can be reached through the contact form on this website.

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