20.5k unique visitors in the last 3 days

Another Surprisingly Large Fraud Estimate

Absurdly exaggerated statistics are more likely to damage professional credibility than increase vendor sales.

The job of a copyeditor is to review and correct written material to improve its accuracy and readability. Probably somebody should have copyedited a recent press release which begins by stating:

Service providers will lose €1.9B to telecom fraud on the first day of MWC19 Barcelona.

No, they will not. Daily losses of EUR1.9bn would equate to EUR693.5bn (USD792.7bn) per year. That would mean telecoms fraud is worth over half of the total revenues earned by telcos globally. Or to put it another way, telecoms fraudsters would be stealing more than the combined nominal GDP of Denmark and Singapore. Or to put it a third way, global telecoms fraud would have to be worth more than four times the annual budget of the European Union, or three times the military budget of China. If people can argue publicly about the size of some of these other numbers then it follows professionals can argue this telecoms fraud number is bunk. No credible source has ever estimated that telecoms fraud losses are anywhere near that large.

I could speculate about the possible miscalculations that generated such an untrustworthy figure, but the real problem is the way businesses present supposed facts and statistics without referring to their origins. Nobody expects a press release promoting a company’s attendance at Mobile World Congress to read like an academic paper, but a little more attention to detail would help our discipline tackle the perfectly understandable skepticism that is often expressed by telco board members and executives. Business leaders may not have a detailed knowledge of telecoms fraud but their instincts will prompt them to dismiss wildly exaggerated stats. Unfortunately, the fraud managers working within their telco may lack the bigger picture that would encourage them to develop the same instincts. Priming these managers with misinformation makes it less likely they will present a persuasive case on the rare occasions when they meet the telco’s top decision-makers… and guarantees they will endure a long wait between such meetings.

So if you want your business to project an aura of professional expertise, be sure to explain the origins of any eye-catching statistics included in the opening sentence of your press release. And employ a competent copyeditor who will spot your mistakes before you advertise them to your peers!

Eric Priezkalns
Eric Priezkalnshttp://revenueprotect.com

During his career, Eric has been a Director of Risk Management for a national telco, the Chief Executive of the Risk & Assurance Group, a Chief Marketing Officer for a software business, a consultant, a public speaker and the publisher of Commsrisk since its launch in 2006. Look here for more about the history of Commsrisk and the role played by Eric.

The comms providers that Eric has worked for include Qatar Telecom, Cable & Wireless, T‑Mobile, Sky and Worldcom. In addition to his proficiency at speaking about the current scamdemic, Eric is also a qualified chartered accountant and a subject matter expert in consumer protection, enterprise risk management, fraud prevention, data integrity and billing accuracy. Eric was the lead author of Revenue Assurance: Expert Opinions for Communications Providers, published by CRC Press. He can be reached through the contact form on this website.

Related Articles

The Commsrisk Global Fraud Dashboard


Our Global Fraud Dashboard uses AI-powered search to collate, update and visualize data about scams and other network abuses from around the world. New charts are added each month. See it here.

Get Our Weekly Newsletter by Email